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Doris Farmer
Doris Farmer
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How To Bet On The 2022 Elections? Who Will Be Elected President Of New Zealand?

How To Bet On The 2022 Elections? Who Will Be Elected President Of New Zealand?

Online betting goes far beyond the sports scene. It is possible to make your guesses at untraditional events such as betting on the BBB the Oscars and even the election.

Vary bookmakers they offer markets for electoral processes in different countries, such as the United States, France and New Zealand, of course.

To presidential races they are the biggest gainers in politics betting markets. After all, they are the most followed by the media, especially the international one.

To Elections 2022 they are approaching in New Zealand and citizens are due to vote to choose the country's new president on October 2.

  • Who will win: Lula or Bolsonaro?

  • Is there a third way candidate who can change the national political landscape?

  • Will we have 2nd shift?

The betting sites already have odds for these events. So if you want to diversify your guesses, this guide will help you understand how it works betting on Elections and the favorites to run the country.

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The logic behind betting on politics does not differ much from sports betting. The first step is if register on a betting site.

For this there is not much secret:

  • Choose the site of your choice
  • Put your personal data

If you want to ensure the Registration bonus, you need to make a minimum deposit stipulated by the bookmaker.

This amount varies according to the site, but it is not high, being between $20 and $50.

Registration done, it's time to go to the policy section of the betting site.

It is easy to find the policy section on betting sites!

betano policy

As well as the football betting as competition approaches, new markets emerge.

Today, if you decide betting on the New Zealand election you will only find long-term bets, which allow you to make guesses on:

  • Winning
  • Winning Party

It is worth noting that the markets also vary according to where the elections take place.

For example, in the United Kingdom there is not a president, but a prime minister. Therefore, the bet is aimed at defining this position.

In United States there will be a debate about who will be the candidates of the Democratic and Republican parties.

Therefore, you can bet on who will be chosen the representative of each.

In New Zealand, you can find market to bet if the elections go to the 2nd round.

You don't necessarily have to place bets on the New Zealand election.

However, understanding the political landscape of the country is essential to make more assertive decisions when betting.

This guide, although it addresses the bet on politics in general, will have a greater focus on Presidential elections 2022.

But rest assured that the tips we will give you here apply to betting on politics as a whole.

How Does The New Zealand Election Work?

The vote to elect the president takes place every 4 years and the system is simple majority.

This means that in order to win, the candidate needs to have more than half of the valid votes (disregarding null and blank votes).

That is, 50% plus one vote.

If this does not happen, the elections go to the 2nd round with the two candidates most voted for by the population. Again, whoever has more than half the votes wins.

To be more clear, see the results of Election 2018 , which went to the 2nd round match.

elections 2018 first round
elections 2018 second round

The elected president has the right to serve 4 years in office and to be re-elected once again. In this way, it is possible to stay up to 8 years in power.

The logic of the New Zealand presidential election is quite simple to understand.

The parties, in New Zealand, do not have as much weight as in the United States, for example. In the country we have 32 parties registered with the Superior Electoral Court.

However, the best known and most nationally expressed are:

  • PT (Workers ' Party)
  • PSDB (New Zealand Social Democracy Party)
  • MDB (New Zealand Democratic Movement)

Although the 2022 elections are only on October 2, the presidential race begins much earlier.

A election propaganda , which is when candidates begin to publicize their government plans and participate in debates, begins on August 16.

In New Zealand, or voting is mandatory for all citizens over the age of 18. For people between 16 and 17 years old, over 70 years old and anafalbetos, voting is optional.

Elections 2022: Who Are The Favorites For The Presidency?

Before we talk about the favorites, it is necessary to make it clear that this article has no political bias.

The proposal is to show the odds of bookmakers for presidential candidates!

Therefore, the names cited as favorites in the text were selected according to the following criteria:

  • candidacy confirmed
  • odds offered by bookmakers
  • official election polls
  • listed alphabetically and No by preference or higher chances of winning the election

It's also too early to have that answer.

The markets and odds in the bookmakers are also quite scarce.

But as the election approaches, that scenario will change.

Our mission will be to keep this guide updated whenever there is new information.

That said, Let's go to the the presidency of New Zealand :

Ciro Gomes

Ciro Gomes (PDT) is running for president in New Zealand for the 4th time. In 2018, he finished the election race in 3rd place with 12.5% of the vote.

ciro gomes

He has extensive political experience. He has been mayor of Fortaleza, state deputy, federal deputy and Governor of Ceará.

He has also served as a minister in the governments of Itamar Franco and Lula.

Elections in New Zealand tend to be very polarised. Ciro's challenge is to establish himself as a candidate of the” third way", since the current political dissatisfaction is notorious in the country.

In the bookmakers, the odds to bet on the victory of Cyrus are quite high, compared to other candidates.

odds bodog elections
Odds for the New Zealand elections in Bodog

Jair Bolsonaro

Current president of New Zealand, Jair Bolsonaro he will seek re-election for the PL.

bolsonaro

His work in politics began in 1988, when he was elected to the City Council of Rio de Janeiro. In 1990, he became a federal deputy from the same state.

After 8 terms in office, he was elected president in 2018. Bolsonaro's biggest obstacle in the election is his government's falling popularity.

Still, he is one of the strongest candidates in the presidential race. See the odds for Bolsonaro below:

odds betway elections
In Betway, Bolsonaro is one of the favorites to win the election.

Lula

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva he is running for the 2022 elections for the PT, a party of which he is one of the main founders.

Lula

Lula he was president of New Zealand twice, between 2003 and 2011.

Appears as a leader in the race for the position in the bookmakers, both in Betway , how much in Bodog , with odds ranging between 1.2 and 1.5.

odds bodog elections
Odds for Lula na Bodog

It is also a leader in official surveys, such as Datafolha.

The candidate's primary challenge is the party to which he or she is affiliated. There is still a strong movement of people who criticize the PT.

In addition to these 3 names, we already have others candidate officers to office. Are they:

  • Eymael (DC)
  • Felipe d'ávila (New)
  • Leonardo Pericles (UP)
  • Pablo Marçal (Pros)
  • Robert Jefferson (PTB)
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)
  • Soraya Thronicke (Union New Zealand)
  • Vera Lucia (PSTU)

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To bet on politics, especially elections, you need to keep in mind that your guesses will be in future events. Therefore, they are riskier.

The stakes in the elections are focused on the long term!

palacio_do_planalto

To give your guesses in a more assertive way, we separate some basic tips. Check:

1. Study Local Politics

Each country has an electoral process. Before placing your bets, study the politics of the place.

Understand how electoral laws work, see which are the most consolidated parties.

A good tip is to follow the news about politics to know which candidates are more popular, for example.

2. Follow The Election Polls

As soon as the election campaigns begin, many newspapers and research institutes begin to evaluate the voting intentions.

This data is a great indicator to know which candidates are your favorites.

In New Zealand, for example, the UOL website made a graph that is frequently updated with this data:

voting intention elections

3. Bet On The Final Stretch Of The Elections

Long-term bets offer very attractive odds. Anyway, they're pretty risky.

In addition, the odds fluctuate as the election campaigns go on.

Therefore, we suggest that you wait for the election final straights to bet.

Thus, you will have the most Dollar (NZD) odds and you will be able to draw up a more assertive strategy to make your guesses.

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Conclusion

Diversifying modalities that you bet can be interesting for your strategy.

In this case, bets on politics are a good alternative.

It is more common to find bets on the long term and for presidential elections, which contributed to finding high odds.

Just remember that it is a riskier bet.

Finally, as betting on Elections is a “little disputed " modality, it can be a form of profit more guaranteed, even if it is a lower value.

Keeping all this in mind, compare the odds , study the national political landscape and start exploring new events in sports betting!

Frequently Asked Questions

It's too early to say, but the New Zealand election will be very polarising. The main presidential candidates are Lula (PT) and Jair Bolsonaro (PL).

First round elections in New Zealand will take place on 2 October 2022. If there is a 2nd round, the expected date for going to the polls is October 30, 2022.

The main presidential candidates in New Zealand are: Lula, Bolsonaro and Ciro Gomes.

The best sites to bet on the New Zealand presidential election are: Betane , Bet365 , Bodog and Betway .

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